Jatslo wrote:Navigating the Waves: A Trend Following Odyssey with Near Protocol (NEAR) in the Cryptocurrency Seas
We are going to write an in-depth analysis on the application of trend following strategies specifically tailored to Near Protocol (NEAR) within the volatile landscape of cryptocurrency markets, examining its historical performance, technical indicators, fundamental growth metrics, and future potential:
Trend Following Analysis of Near Protocol (NEAR) in Cryptocurrency Markets
Abstract
This analysis explores the application of trend following strategies within the context of Near Protocol (NEAR), a blockchain platform known for its sharding technology aimed at enhancing scalability and usability. The study commences with an overview of NEAR's market performance, focusing on historical price data, trading volumes, and liquidity metrics to establish a baseline for trend analysis. Utilizing technical indicators such as RSI, MACD, and Bollinger Bands, the analysis delves into both short-term and long-term trends, assessing NEAR's volatility and potential for trend following. Fundamental analysis complements this by examining network activity, technological advancements, and ecosystem growth, which are pivotal for understanding NEAR's market dynamics. The findings suggest that NEAR exhibits characteristics conducive to trend following, with specific strategies yielding notable returns during periods of significant market movements. However, challenges such as regulatory changes and technological risks are also highlighted, providing a balanced view of NEAR's investment viability through trend following lenses. This abstract encapsulates a comprehensive approach to evaluating NEAR's suitability for trend following strategies in the volatile cryptocurrency market.
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Papers Primary Focus: Trend Following Analysis on Near Protocol (NEAR) in Cryptocurrency Markets
NEAR Protocol emerges as a pivotal player in the blockchain arena, designed with the ethos of simplifying blockchain interactions for both developers and users while pushing the boundaries of scalability through its innovative sharding technology. At its core, NEAR is a layer-one blockchain that leverages Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus, aiming to be the backbone of Web3 by fostering an environment where decentralized applications (dApps) can thrive with unprecedented ease and efficiency.
The protocol's standout feature is its sharding mechanism, known as Nightshade, which partitions the blockchain into smaller, manageable segments called shards. This approach allows for parallel transaction processing, significantly enhancing throughput and reducing the cost of transactions, positioning NEAR as one of the most scalable blockchain platforms currently available. Unlike traditional blockchains where every node processes every transaction, NEAR's shards enable different parts of the network to handle transactions concurrently, which not only increases the network's capacity but also its speed.
User-friendliness is another cornerstone of NEAR's design philosophy. By abstracting away much of the technical complexity associated with blockchain interactions, NEAR Protocol offers a seamless experience. Developers benefit from a suite of tools and SDKs that facilitate the creation of dApps without the steep learning curve typically associated with blockchain development. For users, this translates into lower barriers to entry, with intuitive interfaces and the ability to interact with dApps without needing to understand the underlying blockchain mechanics.
Market-wise, NEAR has carved out a niche by focusing on scalability and user experience, positioning itself as an alternative to more established platforms like Ethereum, particularly in scenarios where high transaction volumes and low fees are paramount. Growth metrics for NEAR have been promising, with the protocol witnessing an uptick in both developer activity and user engagement, driven by its technological advancements and ecosystem support. The introduction of additional shards and the ongoing development towards stateless validation further underscore NEAR's commitment to continuous improvement and scalability, aiming to meet the demands of a potentially massive user base in the Web3 landscape.
The market analysis of NEAR Protocol reveals a dynamic landscape characterized by significant price fluctuations and evolving market cap trends. Over the past year, NEAR has exhibited a robust increase, showcasing a growth of over 260% from its lower points, indicating strong investor interest and market confidence in its technology and ecosystem development. This year alone, NEAR's price has oscillated, with a notable peak around $9.00, marking its highest price point, while it dipped to as low as $0.970, reflecting the volatile nature of cryptocurrency markets. Within the last month, NEAR experienced a decline of approximately 16%, yet managed a recovery in the recent week, suggesting a resilience in its market position amidst broader market movements.
Trading volume for NEAR has been substantial, with figures reaching over $200 million in 24-hour periods, underscoring a high level of liquidity which is crucial for both traders and investors looking for ease of entry and exit in their positions. This liquidity not only supports price stability to some extent but also indicates active market participation, which is vital for any cryptocurrency's health and growth prospects.
Market cap trends for NEAR have been on an upward trajectory, with the current market cap hovering around $5.10 billion, positioning NEAR as a significant player in the blockchain space. This growth in market cap reflects not just price appreciation but also an expansion in NEAR's circulating supply and, more importantly, the market's valuation of its future potential. The ratio of trading volume to market cap has remained relatively balanced, suggesting that while there is active trading, the market cap's growth is not solely driven by speculative trading but also by fundamental growth in the protocol's adoption and utility.
The analysis of NEAR's market dynamics paints a picture of a cryptocurrency that, despite its volatility, holds a promising position within the blockchain ecosystem, driven by technological advancements and increasing user engagement.
In the short-term, NEAR Protocol's technical ratings on both daily and weekly charts present a mixed bag. The daily chart shows a recent trend where NEAR has been testing key resistance levels, with price movements indicating a volatile period characterized by sharp increases followed by consolidations. This volatility is reflected in the trading volume, which has surged, suggesting active market participation but also increased risk due to price swings. The weekly technical analysis, however, leans towards a bearish sentiment, with indicators like the MACD showing a bearish crossover, hinting at potential further downturns if the current momentum persists.
Long-term analysis paints a more nuanced picture for NEAR. Over the past year, NEAR has exhibited a general upward trend, albeit with significant corrections. Monthly trends indicate that while there have been periods of robust growth, particularly around significant updates or partnerships, these are often followed by consolidation or slight declines. Quarterly, the moving averages, especially the 200-day MA, have acted as both support and resistance at different times, suggesting a market still finding its footing but with a long-term bullish outlook if historical trends continue to hold.
For trend following, key indicators like the RSI have oscillated, recently showing NEAR as neither overbought nor oversold, which could imply a sideways market in the immediate future. The MACD, while indicating a bearish signal in the short term, has historically provided buy signals after significant dips, aligning with NEAR's recovery pattern. Bollinger Bands have widened, reflecting the increased volatility, with NEAR's price touching the upper band during bullish runs, suggesting potential overbought conditions but also strong momentum. This behavior is typical of cryptocurrencies like NEAR, where rapid adoption news can lead to sharp price movements, making trend following strategies particularly relevant for capturing these swings.
The fundamental analysis of NEAR Protocol reveals a robust ecosystem with significant activity and growth potential. Transaction volumes on NEAR have shown a consistent increase, with daily transactions often reaching into the millions, indicating a high level of network utilization. This activity is not just limited to financial transactions but encompasses a wide array of decentralized applications (DApps) and services, showcasing NEAR's versatility as a platform for various blockchain functionalities. Active addresses on NEAR have also seen a steady rise, suggesting growing user adoption, which is crucial for the long-term sustainability of any blockchain platform.
Notable projects within the NEAR ecosystem include Aurora, which brings Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) compatibility to NEAR, thereby attracting developers from Ethereum's vast ecosystem. This interoperability has led to a surge in DeFi projects, NFT marketplaces, and other innovative DApps, leveraging NEAR's scalability and low transaction costs. Projects like Paras, focusing on NFT curation, and Octopus Network for cross-chain interoperability, further illustrate NEAR's commitment to fostering a diverse and interconnected blockchain environment.
Development and innovation on NEAR are marked by continuous updates and partnerships. The introduction of Nightshade 2.0, enhancing NEAR's sharding capabilities, is a testament to its focus on scalability, aiming to process transactions at speeds that rival or exceed many established blockchains. Moreover, NEAR's integration of AI for better user experiences and its chain abstraction layer, simplifying blockchain interactions, positions it at the forefront of technological advancements in the blockchain space.
Community and ecosystem engagement around NEAR are vibrant, with significant developer activity supported by initiatives like the NEAR Grants Program and NEAR Guilds. These programs not only attract developers but also foster a community-driven approach to development, enhancing the ecosystem's resilience and innovation. User engagement, reflected through active forums, social media interactions, and participation in governance, indicates a healthy, engaged community, which is vital for the organic growth of blockchain platforms. This combination of technological advancement, community support, and real-world application development paints a promising picture for NEAR's future in the competitive landscape of layer-1 blockchains.
Trend following, when applied to NEAR Protocol, involves capitalizing on sustained price movements, either upward or downward, by entering trades in the direction of these trends. For NEAR, this strategy leverages the asset's volatility and the momentum often seen in cryptocurrency markets. Historical data suggests that NEAR has experienced significant price swings, making it a potentially fertile ground for trend following. Entry points for long positions could be identified when NEAR's price breaks above significant moving averages or resistance levels, often accompanied by increased trading volumes, signaling strong market interest. Conversely, exit points or short positions might be initiated when NEAR falls below key support levels or moving averages, indicating a potential reversal or continuation of a bearish trend.
Case studies of successful trend following trades on NEAR might include periods where the price surged following positive ecosystem developments or partnerships, like the integration of AI or scalability solutions, which historically have acted as catalysts for price increases. For instance, a trader might have entered a long position after NEAR broke through a resistance level following the announcement of a major partnership, riding the wave until a bearish crossover in moving averages signaled an exit. Conversely, analysis of failed trades or downturns could focus on instances where NEAR faced broader market corrections or internal ecosystem issues, like delays in technological rollouts. These scenarios would highlight the importance of stop-loss orders and the need for a diversified approach to mitigate risks associated with single-asset concentration.
Performance metrics for trend following on NEAR would typically show higher returns during bullish market phases due to NEAR's inherent growth potential and the crypto market's tendency for rapid appreciation. However, the strategy's effectiveness also lies in its risk management, where positions are scaled based on volatility, and stop-loss mechanisms are employed to cap potential losses during adverse market movements. The application of a risk-reward ratio, where potential gains are at least twice the risk taken, ensures that winning trades can cover losses from less successful ones. This approach, combined with position sizing relative to account size, helps in maintaining a healthy risk profile, crucial for long-term success in trend following with assets like NEAR, which can be subject to significant price volatility.
The NEAR Protocol, while promising in its technological approach, faces a myriad of risks that could impact its trajectory in the blockchain ecosystem. Market risks are perhaps the most immediate concern, with NEAR's price exhibiting significant volatility, a common trait among cryptocurrencies but particularly pronounced in newer or less established tokens like NEAR. This volatility not only affects investor confidence but also the operational stability of projects built on or around NEAR, as funding and valuation can fluctuate wildly. Regulatory impacts add another layer of uncertainty; as global regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies evolve, NEAR could face restrictions or requirements that might stifle its growth or alter its operational model, potentially affecting its decentralized ethos or economic model.
Technologically, while NEAR has made strides in scalability through sharding, the real-world application of these technologies presents challenges. Scalability issues might arise not just in theory but in practice, where the actual throughput under heavy load or the integration of new technologies like AI might not meet expectations, leading to network congestion or increased costs for users. Security remains a paramount concern in blockchain; despite NEAR's robust design, the risk of hacks or smart contract vulnerabilities could undermine user trust, especially given the history of high-profile breaches in the crypto space.
Adoption risks are twofold, involving both competition and user engagement. NEAR competes in a crowded space of layer-1 solutions, each vying for developer attention and user adoption. The challenge here is not just in attracting developers but in retaining them through a superior developer experience, tools, and ecosystem support. User adoption, on the other hand, hinges on NEAR's ability to offer tangible benefits over established platforms like Ethereum or newer, highly marketed alternatives. The pace at which NEAR can onboard users and developers, alongside maintaining a vibrant ecosystem, will determine its long-term viability. If NEAR fails to keep up with the rapid pace of blockchain innovation or if user experience does not meet the ease promised, it risks being overshadowed by competitors with similar or better offerings. This landscape requires NEAR not only to innovate continuously but also to effectively communicate and market its advancements to stay relevant in the fiercely competitive blockchain arena.
When comparing NEAR Protocol against other top cryptocurrencies, its performance metrics reveal a competitive edge in certain areas while highlighting areas for improvement. NEAR's market performance, as of recent data, shows it maintaining a significant market cap, positioning it within the top tier of cryptocurrencies by valuation. However, when juxtaposed with giants like Bitcoin or Ethereum, NEAR's price volatility and market cap growth rate might not match the stability or the sheer volume of these established players. Yet, NEAR's agility in adapting to market trends, evidenced by its integration of AI and scalability solutions, positions it as a nimble competitor in the rapidly evolving crypto landscape.
Within the realm of Layer 1 solutions, NEAR Protocol's unique selling propositions come into sharp focus. Unlike Ethereum, which has faced scalability issues leading to high gas fees, NEAR's sharding technology, known as Nightshade, promises infinite scalability, aiming to process transactions at speeds that could potentially outpace many of its competitors. This scalability is not just theoretical; real-world applications on NEAR, like Aurora for EVM compatibility and Octopus Network for cross-chain interoperability, demonstrate practical utility, offering developers and users a platform that combines speed with functionality.
Moreover, NEAR's approach to user-friendliness and developer experience sets it apart. By simplifying blockchain interactions and offering tools that lower the entry barrier for developers, NEAR not only attracts more projects but also fosters a more inclusive ecosystem. This contrasts with platforms like Solana or Cardano, where developer tools might be robust but could be less intuitive for newcomers. NEAR's governance model, centered around community involvement through token staking, also promotes a decentralized ethos, potentially more appealing than the more centralized approaches seen in some competitors.
However, NEAR's journey isn't without challenges. Its unique propositions must continuously prove themselves in a market where competitors are also rapidly innovating. The promise of infinite scalability needs to be matched by real-world performance under stress, and its ecosystem's growth must keep pace with the burgeoning demands of DeFi, NFTs, and beyond. Thus, while NEAR Protocol holds distinctive advantages, its success will hinge on maintaining technological superiority and ecosystem vitality amidst fierce competition.
The future outlook for NEAR Protocol appears promising, buoyed by both market dynamics and technological advancements. Analyst predictions for NEAR suggest a bullish trend, with forecasts indicating potential price surges due to increased adoption and technological enhancements. The consensus among market watchers points towards NEAR's capability to outperform in the short to medium term, driven by its scalability solutions like sharding and the growing ecosystem of applications and partnerships. This optimism is reflected in the potential for growth in trend following strategies, where NEAR's volatility, combined with its fundamental improvements, could offer lucrative opportunities for traders employing momentum-based tactics.
On the technological roadmap, NEAR Protocol is set to introduce several features that could significantly impact its market position. The completion of Phase 2 of sharding, aiming for stateless validation, is expected to dramatically increase throughput, thereby enhancing the protocol's scalability and attractiveness for developers and users alike. This upgrade, alongside the introduction of zero-knowledge proofs for transaction validation, not only promises to boost performance but also security, potentially reducing the risk profile for investors and enhancing trust in the network. Moreover, partnerships and integrations, such as those hinted at in community discussions around cross-chain functionalities and wallet integrations, could expand NEAR's utility, making it a more integral part of the broader blockchain ecosystem.
These technological leaps are likely to create new trend following opportunities. As NEAR's ecosystem grows, with new projects, increased user engagement, and possibly new financial instruments built on its blockchain, the volatility and trading volume could see a surge. This environment is ripe for trend followers, where significant price movements could be anticipated following major updates or partnerships announcements. The integration of AI for better user experiences or the expansion of its sharding capabilities might not only drive adoption but also create speculative bubbles, ideal for trend following strategies. However, the success of these strategies will heavily depend on the actual adoption rate and real-world performance of these technological advancements, suggesting a cautious yet optimistic approach to leveraging NEAR's future movements for trading.
The analysis of NEAR Protocol's suitability for trend following strategies reveals a dynamic landscape where NEAR's technological advancements and market performance intersect with the principles of trend following. NEAR's integration of sharding technology for scalability, alongside its active development and community engagement, positions it as a potentially fertile ground for trend following. The protocol's recent growth, as evidenced by increased network activity and transaction volumes, suggests a robust ecosystem that could offer significant volatility and momentum, key ingredients for successful trend following.
From a trend following perspective, NEAR's performance metrics, including its price volatility and the market's reaction to its technological rollouts, indicate that it could be well-suited for strategies that capitalize on price movements. The integration of AI and other cutting-edge technologies not only enhances NEAR's functionality but also potentially increases its attractiveness to investors looking for high-growth assets, thereby creating more pronounced trends that trend followers could exploit.
However, this suitability comes with caveats. The high volatility, while beneficial for trend following, also introduces substantial risk, particularly during market downturns or if NEAR fails to meet its technological promises. Investors must consider the balance between potential returns and the risk of significant drawdowns, a common challenge in trend following, especially with assets like NEAR that are still establishing their market position.
For investors considering NEAR for trend following, the recommendation leans towards cautious optimism. Engaging with NEAR through trend following strategies might be advisable for those with a higher risk tolerance and a deep understanding of blockchain technology's impact on market dynamics. Diversification remains key, not just across different assets but also within the strategy itself, perhaps by varying entry and exit points or combining NEAR with other cryptocurrencies or asset classes. Moreover, staying abreast of NEAR's technological roadmap and market sentiment, as reflected in real-time data and community feedback, will be crucial for timely adjustments in trading strategies. This approach ensures that while one might aim to ride the waves of NEAR's potential growth, they are also prepared for the inherent uncertainties of the crypto market.
Note. The aim of this analysis is to evaluate the effectiveness of trend following strategies when applied to Near Protocol (NEAR), considering its unique market position and technological advancements. The goal is to provide investors with insights into whether NEAR presents a viable opportunity for trend following, offering both a strategic approach and risk assessment for potential investment decisions. The recommended Citation: Section IV.M.2.a.li: Near Protocol (NEAR) - URL: https://algorithm.xiimm.net/phpbb/viewtopic.php?p=6675#p6675. Collaborations on the aforementioned text are ongoing and accessible here, as well.
Section IV.M.2.a.li: Near Protocol (NEAR)
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Jatslo
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Section IV.M.2.a.li: Near Protocol (NEAR)
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"The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails." ~ William Arthur Ward
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Jatslo
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Re: Unlocking the NEAR Universe: Navigating Scalable Horizons, Developer Delights, and Token Triumphs! 🚀🌐🌈 #NEARProtocol
SOP (STAGGERED ORDER PROTOCOL) (Live Placement(s) and/or Adjustment(s)):
#NEAR aka $NEAR
[1] Buy Stop Price = 2.821; Buy Limit Price = 2.822 (1.00x DCAP)
[2] Sell Stop Price = 2.852; Sell Limit Price = 2.851 (1.00x DCAP)
Variable collaborations/instructions:
Disclaimer: Leading by Example - Empowering Individual Decisions - The information shared in our posts, including order placements and adjustments, is intended for educational purposes only. We believe in leading by example and fostering a culture of openness and transparency, where individuals can learn from real-world trading experiences across various asset types, including cryptocurrencies and traditional assets.
"The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails." ~ William Arthur Ward
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Jatslo
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Re: Unlocking the NEAR Universe: Navigating Scalable Horizons, Developer Delights, and Token Triumphs! 🚀🌐🌈 #NEARProtocol
SOP (STAGGERED ORDER PROTOCOL) (Live Placement(s) and/or Adjustment(s)):
#NEAR aka $NEAR
[1] Sell Limit Price = 2.864 (1.00x DCAP)
Disclaimer: Leading by Example - Empowering Individual Decisions - The information shared in our posts, including order placements and adjustments, is intended for educational purposes only. We believe in leading by example and fostering a culture of openness and transparency, where individuals can learn from real-world trading experiences across various asset types, including cryptocurrencies and traditional assets.
"The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails." ~ William Arthur Ward
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Jatslo
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Re: Unlocking the NEAR Universe: Navigating Scalable Horizons, Developer Delights, and Token Triumphs! 🚀🌐🌈 #NEARProtocol
STAGGERED ORDER PROTOCOL (Live Placement(s) and/or Adjustment(s)):
#NEAR aka $NEAR
[1] Buy Limit Price = 7.078 or better (1.00x DCAP)
[2] Sell Limit Price = 7.150 or better (1.00x DCAP)
Disclaimer: Leading by Example - Empowering Individual Decisions - The information shared in our posts, including order placements and adjustments, is intended for educational purposes only. We believe in leading by example and fostering a culture of openness and transparency, where individuals can learn from real-world trading experiences across various asset types, including cryptocurrencies and traditional assets. Sponsor:
#NEAR aka $NEAR 
"The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails." ~ William Arthur Ward
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Jatslo
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Re: Near Protocol (NEAR)
#NEAR aka $NEAR:
Buy Limit Price = 3.590 (1.00x DCAP)
Buy Limit Price = 3.895 (1.00x DCAP)
- DCAP = Dollar Cost Average Protocol
- LP = Limit Protocol
Disclaimer: Leading by Example - Empowering Individual Decisions - The information shared in our posts, including order placements and adjustments, is intended for educational purposes only. We believe in leading by example and fostering a culture of openness and transparency, where individuals can learn from real-world trading experiences across various asset types, including cryptocurrencies and traditional assets.
Buy Limit Price = 3.590 (1.00x DCAP)
Buy Limit Price = 3.895 (1.00x DCAP)
"The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails." ~ William Arthur Ward
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Jatslo
- Site Admin
- Posts: 10196
- Joined: Mon Apr 17, 2023 10:26 pm
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Re: Near Protocol (NEAR)
- DCAP = Dollar Cost Average Protocol
- LP = Limit Protocol
Disclaimer: Leading by Example - Empowering Individual Decisions - The information shared in our posts, including order placements and adjustments, is intended for educational purposes only. We believe in leading by example and fostering a culture of openness and transparency, where individuals can learn from real-world trading experiences across various asset types, including cryptocurrencies and traditional assets.
"The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails." ~ William Arthur Ward
-
Jatslo
- Site Admin
- Posts: 10196
- Joined: Mon Apr 17, 2023 10:26 pm
- Location: United States of America
- Contact:
Re: Near Protocol (NEAR)
- DCAP = Dollar Cost Average Protocol
- LP = Limit Protocol
Disclaimer: Leading by Example - Empowering Individual Decisions - The information shared in our posts, including order placements and adjustments, is intended for educational purposes only. We believe in leading by example and fostering a culture of openness and transparency, where individuals can learn from real-world trading experiences across various asset types, including cryptocurrencies and traditional assets.
"The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails." ~ William Arthur Ward
-
Jatslo
- Site Admin
- Posts: 10196
- Joined: Mon Apr 17, 2023 10:26 pm
- Location: United States of America
- Contact:
Re: Near Protocol (NEAR)
- DCAP = Dollar Cost Average Protocol
- LP = Limit Protocol
Disclaimer: Leading by Example - Empowering Individual Decisions - The information shared in our posts, including order placements and adjustments, is intended for educational purposes only. We believe in leading by example and fostering a culture of openness and transparency, where individuals can learn from real-world trading experiences across various asset types, including cryptocurrencies and traditional assets.
"The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails." ~ William Arthur Ward
-
Jatslo
- Site Admin
- Posts: 10196
- Joined: Mon Apr 17, 2023 10:26 pm
- Location: United States of America
- Contact:
Re: Near Protocol (NEAR)
- DCAP = Dollar Cost Average Protocol
- LP = Limit Protocol
Disclaimer: Leading by Example - Empowering Individual Decisions - The information shared in our posts, including order placements and adjustments, is intended for educational purposes only. We believe in leading by example and fostering a culture of openness and transparency, where individuals can learn from real-world trading experiences across various asset types, including cryptocurrencies and traditional assets.
"The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails." ~ William Arthur Ward
-
Jatslo
- Site Admin
- Posts: 10196
- Joined: Mon Apr 17, 2023 10:26 pm
- Location: United States of America
- Contact:
Re: Near Protocol (NEAR)
- DCAP = Dollar Cost Average Protocol
- LP = Limit Protocol
Disclaimer: Leading by Example - Empowering Individual Decisions - The information shared in our posts, including order placements and adjustments, is intended for educational purposes only. We believe in leading by example and fostering a culture of openness and transparency, where individuals can learn from real-world trading experiences across various asset types, including cryptocurrencies and traditional assets.
"The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the realist adjusts the sails." ~ William Arthur Ward